By Mark Duell | From MailOnline | Feb 27th, 2012
Just when you thought unemployment was dropping and stock markets were surging back, these three analysts today sent out a stark warning to Americans to brace for another financial crash.
Trend forecaster Gerald Celente advises buying a gun to protect your family, stocking up on gold if the dollar crashes and planning a getaway, so it’s no shock he’s preparing for an ‘economic 9/11’.
Share prices and unemployment are posting their best figures in four years since the recession hit, but Mr Celente, along with authors Harry Dent and Robert Prechter, says the rebound won’t last.
All three were profiled in a USA Today feature on Monday. Mr Dent, who had The Great Crash Ahead published last September, believes stocks are simply experiencing an artificial short-term boost.
Mr Prechter, who had a new version of Conquer the Crash published in 2009, is fearful of today’s economic similarities to the Great Depression and says the brief recovery will fail like in the 1930s.
‘The economic recovery has been weak, so the next downturn should generate bad news in a big way,’ he told USA Today, saying the markets look ‘very bearish’ for the third time in 12 years.
Mr Celente, who works as an analyst at the Trends Research Institute, which he founded in Kingston, New York, has been doom-mongering for years – so his latest concerns are hardly surprising.
But he told USA Today that a potential run on banks by savers could cause the government to invoke a national holiday and temporarily close them all, which happened during the Great Depression.
‘When money stops flowing to the man on the street, blood starts flowing in the street’
Gerald Celente, trend forecaster
It comes as billionaire Berkshire Hathaway chairman and CEO Warren Buffett today painted a happier picture of stocks, which he said are relatively cheap compared to other investments as the economy improves.
Meanwhile contracts to buy previously owned U.S. homes neared a two-year high in January in further evidence the housing market was slowly turning the corner, an industry group said today.
However oil prices have been spurred higher by worries over disruptions to Middle East supplies due to sanctions against Iran and expectations for greater demand from an improving U.S. economy.
Economic violence: Occupy Wall Street protesters clashed with riot police on many occasions last autumn, including in November after being ordered to leave their camp at Zuccotti Park in Manhattan, New York
But on the markets, the S&P 500 has risen nearly nine per cent so far this year and the Dow Jones is trading around the psychologically-important mark of 13,000. But the three experts aren’t happy.
Mr Prechter told USA Today both markets will crash back below their lows hit at the height of the financial crisis in March 2009. Unemployment fell last month to 8.3 per cent, a three-year low, and weekly jobless claims are at a four-year-low.
But Mr Dent believes that people will be left out of work again in 2013 or 2014 and U.S. markets will crash because central banks have been pumping so much money into markets that they are unrealistically strong.
The economy is proving to be the major issue in this autumn’s presidential election, with every Republican candidate berating President Barack Obama for his handling of the recession.
Mitt Romney said on Monday that his major rival Rick Santorum is ill-prepared to deal with the nation’s economic woes, calling his GOP rival a nice guy who never held a job in the private sector.
But Mr Santorum has mounted an unexpectedly strong challenge against Mr Romney ahead of the primary in Michigan tomorrow, despite accusations from his rival that he doesn’t know how to create jobs.
Mr Celente told USA Today that a higher unemployment rate will cause social unrest and there will be a growing rich-poor divide. This would no doubt help fuel movements such as Occupy Wall Street.
‘When money stops flowing to the man on the street, blood starts flowing in the street,’ he said.
